Аукционы ОФЗ сработают в поддержку рубля

Аукционы ОФЗ сработают в поддержку рубля
—Анна Бодровастарший аналитик компании «Альпари» Рубль совершенно не впечатлил движениями накануне, но сегодня способен быть более активным. Доллар США во вторник вернулся выше 57,50 руб., промежуточного уровня, который в узком боковом диапазоне отделяет сейчас вяло настроенных покупателей от таких же вяло настроенных продавцов. Боковик по-прежнему сосредоточен в рамках 57,40-57,95 руб., и в первой половине дня в среду он останется актуальным. К вечеру пара доллар/рубль может даже шагнуть в сторону 58,10-58,15 руб.

Нефть утром в среду вернулась к подъему. Баррель Brent дорожает на 0,3% и торгуется по $58,11, неплохо подрастает WTI. Коррекционный откат минувшего дня снял часть перекупленности с сырьевого рынка и позволил продолжить покупки. Отчет API по запасам показал, что для черного золота запасы за прошлую неделю снизились на 0,761 тыс. баррелей, в то время как запасы бензина выросли на 1,47 млн баррелей. Единственный компонент, который предложил двигаться в пост-ураганном ключе — это запасы дистиллятов (-4,53 млн баррелей). Примечательно, что сектор нефти на статистику особенно не отреагировал, ждет подтверждений от Минэнерго США, которые выйдут сегодня вечером. Стабильность рынка сырья и достаточно высокие цены на энергоносители все еще поддерживают рубль.

С другой стороны, индекс доллара держится в краткосрочном растущем канале и улучшает свои позиции с начала этой недели. Давление «американца» на мировом валютном рынке рубль игнорировать может, но это ненадолго. Кроме того, налоговый период в России подходит в концу, и рубль лишится еще одного фактора опоры. 

Сегодня утром российская валюта может демонстрировать некоторое укрепление точечно: Минфин проводит сразу два аукциона по размещению ОФЗ. Объем для рынка уже привычный — 40 млрд рублей. Предыдущий аукцион для обоих выпусков оказался достаточно успешным, сегодняшняя конъюнктура смотрится нейтральной, поэтому можно ожидать даже переподписки на бумаги. К середине дня этот драйвер для рубля перестанет работать, и на авансцену вернется сырьевой катализатор. 

В разделе «Мнения» сайта Агентства экономической информации «ПРАЙМ» публикуются материалы, предоставленные аналитиками, трейдерами и экспертами российских и зарубежных компаний, банков, а также публикуются мнения собственных экспертов Агентства «ПРАЙМ». Мнения авторов по тому или иному вопросу, отраженные в публикуемых Агентством материалах , могут не совпадать с мнением редакции АЭИ «ПРАЙМ». Авторы и АЭИ «ПРАЙМ» не берут на себя ответственность за действия, предпринятые на основе данной информации. С появлением новых данных по рынку позиция авторов может меняться.

Представленные мнения выражены с учетом ситуации на момент выхода материала и носят исключительно ознакомительный характер; они не являются предложением или советом по совершению каких-либо действий и/или сделок, в том числе по покупке либо продаже ценных бумаг. По всем вопросам размещения информации в разделе «Мнения» Вы можете обращаться в редакцию агентства: combroker@1prime.ru.

Источник: 1prime.ru

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