Новости по добыче нефти в Ливии остаются одним из источников волатильности на рынке

Новости по добыче нефти в Ливии остаются одним из источников волатильности на рынке
—Денис Асаинованалитик УК «Альфа-Капитал» Нефть марки Brent торгуется ниже 52 долл. за баррель. Ухудшение данных по PMI и восстановление предложения нефти из Ливии являются основными факторами, которые давят на котировки.

Новости по добыче нефти в Ливии остаются одним из источников волатильности на рынке. Возобновление добычи на некоторых месторождениях позволило стране обновить максимумы по добыче с 2014 года, сейчас страна добывает около 760 тыс. баррелей в день. В планах Национальной нефтяной корпорации Ливии (NOC) нарастить добычу нефти до 1,1 млн баррелей в сутки к августу.

В США мы продолжаем наблюдать рост буровой активности, количество действующих буровых установок приблизилось к 700 единицам, а добыча – выше 9,25 млн баррелей в сутки. Другим не менее важным фактором со стороны предложения являются приближающиеся переговоры в формате ОПЕК+ по продлению соглашения об ограничении объемов добычи нефти. Скорее всего, встреча завершится успешно, что позволит ценам оставаться более или менее стабильными. 

Растущее предложение нефти не позволяет ценам на нефть приблизиться к отметке 60 долл. за баррель, да и сигналов к ускорению спроса на нефть и нефтепродукты пока нет. Индексы PMI показывают снижение по итогам апреля. К примеру, индекс Caixin PMI Китая показал снижение до 50,3 пункта.

Победа Макрона в первом раунде президентских выборов снизила геополитические риски в Европе. В итоге мы наблюдаем снижение спроса на защитные активы: золото – в районе 1260 долл. за унцию, доходность по 10-летним казначейским облигациям – около 2,3%.

В разделе «Мнения» сайта Агентства экономической информации «ПРАЙМ» публикуются материалы, предоставленные аналитиками, трейдерами и экспертами российских и зарубежных компаний, банков, а также публикуются мнения собственных экспертов Агентства «ПРАЙМ». Мнения авторов по тому или иному вопросу, отраженные в публикуемых Агентством материалах , могут не совпадать с мнением редакции АЭИ «ПРАЙМ». Авторы и АЭИ «ПРАЙМ» не берут на себя ответственность за действия, предпринятые на основе данной информации. С появлением новых данных по рынку позиция авторов может меняться.

Представленные мнения выражены с учетом ситуации на момент выхода материала и носят исключительно ознакомительный характер; они не являются предложением или советом по совершению каких-либо действий и/или сделок, в том числе по покупке либо продаже ценных бумаг. По всем вопросам размещения информации в разделе «Мнения» Вы можете обращаться в редакцию агентства: combroker@1prime.ru.

Источник: 1prime.ru

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