Спрэд между ценами WTI и Brent достиг двухлетнего максимума

Спрэд между ценами WTI и Brent достиг двухлетнего максимума
—Дмитрий Беденковначальник аналитического отдела «ИК Русс-инвест» В последние дни на рынке нефти наблюдается высокая волатильность. Направление движения сменяется в зависимости от характера поступающих новостей. Проблемы с добычей на крупном ливийском Ливии месторождении Шарара и блокировка трубопроводов одной из военных группировок поддержали рост цен на нефть марки Brent в минувшую пятницу с 51 до 52,9 долл. за барр. В пользу роста также оказались данные статистики от компании Baker Hughes о количестве действующих скважин в США.

Количество работающих нефтяных скважин упало на 5 шт. и опустилось до двухмесячного минимума. На вчерашнем заседании технического комитета мониторинга выполнения договоров ОПЕК+ было констатировано снижение степени выполнения венского соглашения с 98% от уровня договоренностей в июне до 94% в июле. Несмотря на то, что степень выполнения осталась достаточно высокой, котировки смеси Brent просели в понедельник более чем на 1 долл.

Поддержал быков Министр нефти Кувейта, который заявил по итогам заседания о вероятности продления соглашения после апреля 2018г. на саммите картеля в ноябре. Несмотря на отсутствие направленного тренда обращает на себя внимание резкий рост спрэдов цен между Brent и WTI. Сейчас спрэд достиг 4,3 долл. в то время как в начале августа был на уровне 2,62 долл. В последний раз такой спрэд наблюдался два года назад. Brent от минимальных цен 21 июня вырос на 16%, а WTI только на 12,5%. Отчасти это обусловлено более серьезным дисбалансом спроса и предложения в США, чем в Европе, за счет роста добычи на сланцевых месторождениях. За два неполных месяца запасы нефти в США упали на 7,4% и опустились ниже уровня начала года.

Тем не менее, снижение запасов недостаточное для роста цен и по последним данным остаются выше уровня двухгодичной давности более чем на 11%. С учетом дисбаланса цен поставки нефти в Европу становятся более привлекательными, могут привести к перераспределению предложения и оказать давление на цены Brent.

В разделе «Мнения» сайта Агентства экономической информации «ПРАЙМ» публикуются материалы, предоставленные аналитиками, трейдерами и экспертами российских и зарубежных компаний, банков, а также публикуются мнения собственных экспертов Агентства «ПРАЙМ». Мнения авторов по тому или иному вопросу, отраженные в публикуемых Агентством материалах , могут не совпадать с мнением редакции АЭИ «ПРАЙМ». Авторы и АЭИ «ПРАЙМ» не берут на себя ответственность за действия, предпринятые на основе данной информации. С появлением новых данных по рынку позиция авторов может меняться.

Представленные мнения выражены с учетом ситуации на момент выхода материала и носят исключительно ознакомительный характер; они не являются предложением или советом по совершению каких-либо действий и/или сделок, в том числе по покупке либо продаже ценных бумаг. По всем вопросам размещения информации в разделе «Мнения» Вы можете обращаться в редакцию агентства: combroker@1prime.ru.

Источник: 1prime.ru

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